Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.630365 0.704733 0.785387 0.879522 0.986582 1.104789 1.245515
2025-03-02 0.501095 0.599611 0.714939 0.860601 1.040623 1.257045 1.538767
2025-03-09 0.443610 0.555407 0.693168 0.876782 1.117150 1.423937 1.849661
2025-03-16 0.392773 0.509647 0.659647 0.868400 1.154747 1.538628 2.100476
2025-03-23 0.359333 0.480869 0.642458 0.876009 1.209881 1.677562 2.395807
2025-03-30 0.325746 0.447578 0.614548 0.863914 1.233482 1.771574 2.634125
2025-04-06 0.299801 0.421892 0.593891 0.858586 1.264138 1.876236 2.897676
2025-04-13 0.268965 0.386233 0.555351 0.822372 1.243364 1.898875 3.031906
2025-04-20 0.254300 0.372815 0.547887 0.831724 1.292739 2.034357 3.364665
2025-04-27 0.241437 0.360873 0.541324 0.841280 1.342418 2.174087 3.720199
2025-05-04 0.229299 0.348967 0.533615 0.847835 1.386995 2.308678 4.081876
2025-05-11 0.217521 0.336651 0.524120 0.850247 1.424114 2.433144 4.439143
2025-05-18 0.208674 0.328614 0.521244 0.864127 1.483604 2.605629 4.915355
2025-05-25 0.194112 0.310232 0.499994 0.844485 1.481177 2.664421 5.175418
2025-06-01 0.187367 0.304314 0.499094 0.860416 1.545181 2.854625 5.729615
2025-06-08 0.177063 0.291614 0.485571 0.852203 1.562461 2.955227 6.106847
2025-06-15 0.170188 0.284319 0.480859 0.859652 1.610354 3.121473 6.650858
2025-06-22 0.160885 0.272145 0.466598 0.847812 1.618634 3.206719 7.022225
2025-06-29 0.153291 0.262524 0.456264 0.842596 1.639652 3.320661 7.476872
2025-07-06 0.142024 0.245610 0.431477 0.807139 1.594685 3.286970 7.568520
2025-07-13 0.137624 0.240980 0.429211 0.816296 1.644711 3.468434 8.223089
2025-07-20 0.133520 0.236635 0.427163 0.825652 1.695914 3.658040 8.928183
2025-07-27 0.129299 0.231808 0.423850 0.832069 1.741128 3.838612 9.638146